{"id":1049,"date":"2011-02-02T12:01:53","date_gmt":"2011-02-02T17:01:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/?p=1049"},"modified":"2011-02-02T12:01:53","modified_gmt":"2011-02-02T17:01:53","slug":"how-can-your-organization-drive-continuous-improvement-by-utilizing-statistical-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/2011\/02\/02\/how-can-your-organization-drive-continuous-improvement-by-utilizing-statistical-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"How Can Your Organization Drive Continuous Improvement by Utilizing Statistical Forecasting?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_1050\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/Jason-Dols-Pepsico.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1050\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1050\" title=\"Jason Dols - Pepsico\" src=\"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/Jason-Dols-Pepsico-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"Jason Dols - Pepsico\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1050\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jason Dols - Pepsico<\/p><\/div>\n<p>I believe that there are two ways your organization can <a href=\"http:\/\/ibf.org\/conferences.cfm?fuseaction=conferenceDetail&amp;conID=296\">improve the performance of statistical forecasting:<\/a><\/p>\n<p>1)\u00a0Wait for your business to become more forecastable<\/p>\n<p>2) Develop a process to drive continuous improvement in your statistical forecasting approach<\/p>\n<p>At PepsiCo Chicago, we have made great progress to improve the performance of our statistical forecasts by developing a continuous improvement process.<\/p>\n<p>Before you begin this process, it is critical to have clear organizational accountability and a strong team in place that possesses strong analytical &amp; technical capabilities coupled with the <a href=\"http:\/\/ibf.org\/books.cfm?fuseaction=catList&amp;bkCatID=1&amp;bkCatName=Forecasting%20Books\">business knowledge<\/a> to know what drives sales.\u00a0 Next, organizations should develop a consistent, repeatable process to evaluate their statistical forecasting performance and identify the key drivers of forecast error.\u00a0 By identifying the key drivers of error, you can then identify and prioritize where there are opportunities for continuous improvement and how best to pursue them further.\u00a0 Finally, you\u2019ll need to <a href=\"http:\/\/ibf.org\/index.cfm?fuseaction=showObjects&amp;objectTypeID=58\">test<\/a> your changes to ensure that they have had a positive impact on organizational performance.<\/p>\n<p>Organizations that use statistical forecasting expect their processes to provide a highly accurate forecast.\u00a0 Furthermore, organizations will typically expect the performance of the statistical forecasts to improve over time in turn raising supply chain performance and customer satisfaction.\u00a0 To learn more about how your organization can improve statistical forecasting by developing a process for continuous improvement, please attend my presentation at the upcoming <a href=\"http:\/\/ibf.org\/conferences.cfm?fuseaction=conferenceDetail&amp;conID=296\">IBF Supply Chain Forecasting &amp; Planning Conference<\/a> in Orlando conference in Orlando, Florida February 27 through March 1.<\/p>\n<p>I look forward to seeing you there!<\/p>\n<p>Jason Dols, Senior Manager, Demand Planning Capability Lead<br \/>\nPepsiCo<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Hear Jason Speak At IBF&#8217;s <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/ibf.org\/conferences.cfm?fuseaction=conferenceDetail&amp;conID=296\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Orlando Feb Banner\" src=\"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/Orlando-Feb-Banner.jpg\" alt=\"IBF's Supply Chain Forecasting &amp; Planning Conference\" width=\"448\" height=\"152\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>The materials\/opinions posted on this blog\/site are my own and do not represent those of PepsiCo or any of its subsidiaries or divisions. Nor do they constitute any official communication of those companies.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I believe that there are two ways your organization can improve the performance of statistical forecasting: 1)\u00a0Wait for your business to become more forecastable 2) Develop a process to drive continuous improvement in your statistical forecasting approach At PepsiCo Chicago, we have made great progress to improve the performance of our statistical forecasts by developing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":607,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[61,62,65,66,34,67,69,44,36,48,195,73,74],"class_list":{"0":"post-1049","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-forecasting-and-planning","7":"tag-business-forecasting","8":"tag-collaborative-forecasting","9":"tag-demand-forecasting","10":"tag-demand-management","11":"tag-demand-planning","12":"tag-demand-planning-and-forecasting-conference","13":"tag-forecast-accuracy","14":"tag-forecasting-system","15":"tag-ibf","16":"tag-institute-of-business-forecasting-and-planning","17":"tag-pepsico","18":"tag-sales-operations-planning","19":"tag-sales-forecasting"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1049"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/607"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1049"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1049\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}