{"id":8774,"date":"2020-11-09T10:13:55","date_gmt":"2020-11-09T15:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/?p=8774"},"modified":"2020-11-09T10:16:56","modified_gmt":"2020-11-09T15:16:56","slug":"do-data-scientists-make-good-demand-planners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/2020\/11\/09\/do-data-scientists-make-good-demand-planners\/","title":{"rendered":"Do Data Scientists Make Good Demand Planners?"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"cb-itemprop\" itemprop=\"reviewBody\"><p><b>\u201cI think this is the perfect career move,\u201d Nicolas Vandeput, founder of SupChains, says of incorporating data science skills as a Demand Planner.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong>Like so many industries, the way we\u2019ve done things in the past in demand planning may not be the way we do things going forward. The line between data scientists and demand planners is blurring.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>There will be a time in the future when answers become a commodity, and questions are the premium. Adopting a scientific curiosity and understanding the right questions to ask will become a valuable skill.<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The effect of data science on demand planning and supply chain planning can\u2019t be underestimated. Demand Planners can no longer rely on how we\u2019ve always done things.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Does that mean, however, that data scientists can be effective demand planners?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We spoke with author of <\/span><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Data-Science-Supply-Chain-Forecast\/dp\/1730969437\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data Science for Supply Chain Forecast<\/span><\/a><\/em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0and founder of <a href=\"https:\/\/supchains.com\/\">SupChains<\/a>, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/vandeputnicolas\/?originalSubdomain=be\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nicolas Vandeput<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, who laid out what data scientists bring to demand planning and how demand planners can leverage data science to evolve in this rapidly changing field.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cI think this is the perfect career move,\u201d Vandeput says of incorporating data science into your demand planning repertoire, on an episode of IBF\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCIDyayZeWzrBgzOSgHVIitQ\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Demand podcast<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We know data science is not demand planning. There are significant differences in these fields. But there can be valuable synergy between them, as well.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vandeput unpacked exactly what Data Scientists and Demand Planners can learn from each other, how a data scientist can apply their expertise to this field, and how a Demand Planner can become the supply chain Data Scientist in your company.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adopting A Probability Mindset In Demand Planning<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demand Planners live in a world of ambiguity. We\u2019re never \u201cright\u201d; we just hope to be close in our forecasts. This lack of precision can be a challenge for Data Scientists, who specialize in answers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Is that ambiguity a problem that data scientists need to overcome?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vandeput doesn\u2019t think so. \u201cIn data science, you try to be as accurate as you can, but you totally accept being 99% [accurate],\u201d he says. So, data scientists accept some ambiguity, too \u2014 but they typically have a clearer understanding of just how much there is.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He says this is because of the \u201cscience\u201d part of data science. A scientific mindset is all about experimentation, observation, and curiosity. Data Scientists, then, must be able to test new ideas, accept failures, and move on to the next idea.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The real difference that a data scientist brings to the table is a probability mindset.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> While Demand Planners are comfortable with ambiguity, data scientists can accept that ambiguity, but also consider the probability of accurate forecasts with a given model and adjust their models to achieve higher probability of accuracy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adopting a probability mindset, rather than simply accepting traditional levels of ambiguity, could help demand planners achieve more accurate forecasts.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Project vs. Process Workflow<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We might see Data Scientists and Demand Planners as complementary but distinct roles that require different skill sets. In that case, a breakdown of roles would look something like this:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Data Scientist:<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Work on a project basis. Focus on developing a forecasting model based on data you receive, and hand it off to the demand planner.<\/span><\/b><\/li>\n<li><strong>Demand Planner:<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Work in an ongoing process. Apply the model to manage assumptions and stakeholder needs.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a Demand Planner, you manage a process, perhaps weekly or monthly, with ongoing adaptation to new \u201cinputs\u201d or pieces of information.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data Scientists, on the other hand, have a project to work on. They develop a model and hand it off to a Demand Planner once it\u2019s working. They may have to adjust the model or develop new models, but that won\u2019t require such an ongoing process.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cI do really think that if you have a deep expertise in your market or your business as a Demand Planner, you really know your data,\u201d Vandeput points out. \u201cYou know what client is important, seasonality, or which promotion is important.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That knowledge and skill establishes who could be a good data scientist for a specific program, Vandeput says. But to become a broader asset in your company, you must consider some of these shifts toward a data science mindset.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Applying a D<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ata Science Background to Demand Planning<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We\u2019re seeing a lot of people coming out of college with expertise in data science who weren\u2019t necessarily thinking about demand planning as a career. But the jobs are finding them. As companies become more aware of the benefits of machine learning and AI, they\u2019re more interested in putting people with a background in data science in demand planning roles.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">People with an academic background in data science can move into a demand planning role thanks to their advanced analysis skills. But to successfully make the transition, it\u2019s imperative to broaden that skill set to understand the language of sales and supply chain management.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here are Vandeput\u2019s tips to make the transition:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Talk to people.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> A data scientist can develop a good model, but that model can\u2019t see everything. Talk to clients or production facilities, for example, to tap into that human intelligence about the supply chain.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAs Data Scientists, you&#8217;ll be able to bring a really good model,\u201d he says. \u201cBut from there as a human, you need to bring some kind of extra layer of intelligence.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Stay curious. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Keep that scientific mindset, that curiosity, and incorporate collaboration. Incorporate new inputs \u2014\u00a0what you learn from conversations with people in your supply chain \u2014 to develop stronger models.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>\u201cAs data scientists,\u201d Vandeput says, \u201cit&#8217;s really clear that if you ask different people with different mindsets, the input, you&#8217;re going to end up with a better number.\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What Demand Planners Can Learn From Data Scientists<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data Scientists aren\u2019t the only ones who need to adapt to better serve the demand planning process, though. As data science becomes an increasingly important part of the supply chain, Demand Planners can look for opportunities to start challenging the way we\u2019ve always done things.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That scientific mindset, the curiosity, the ability to admit when you&#8217;re wrong and to look objectively at your forecasts and assumptions are skills we need as Demand Planners.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you\u2019re in a Demand Planner role, consider how you can expand your skills to become what Vandeput calls the \u201csupply chain data scientist\u201d at your company. You might think about the following:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Add coding skills:<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> You don\u2019t have to become an expert at R or Python, but a basic understanding of coding can help you utilize the resources at your disposal, such as packages of code you can copy and paste to develop new models.<\/span><\/b><\/li>\n<li><strong>Incorporate external data:<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If you\u2019re only looking at internal sales, you\u2019re not seeing the full picture. Incorporate additional inputs to create more accurate forecasts and avoid repeating mistakes.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Combine these empirical skills with your ability to communicate, collaborate, and orchestrate those ongoing processes puts you in a position to meet the changing needs of demand planning in the future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><i>This is based on an episode of IBF\u2019s <\/i><\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCIDyayZeWzrBgzOSgHVIitQ\"><b><i>On Demand podcast<\/i><\/b><\/a><i><b>, a leading show for demand planners and business forecasters about the latest trends and future of demand planning, forecasting, predictive\u00a0analytics, and S&amp;OP.<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n<\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cI think this is the perfect career move,\u201d Nicolas Vandeput, founder of SupChains, says of incorporating data science skills as a Demand Planner. Like so many industries, the way we\u2019ve done things in the past in demand planning may not be the way we do things going forward. The line between data scientists and demand [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5965,"featured_media":8777,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,376,359],"tags":[521],"class_list":{"0":"post-8774","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"category-skills","9":"category-people","10":"tag-data-science"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8774"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5965"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8774"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8774\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demand-planning.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}